AGI Could Surpass Human Intelligence in 3-8 Years, Predicts AI Expert at Beneficial AGI Summit

Activities

Divisions

Programs

Activities

Divisions

Programs

Scientist at Beneficial AGI Summit predicts Artificial General Intelligence of human level in 3-8 years

Noted AI expert, Ben Goertzel, who is known for his work on theoretical aspects of AI, proposes that the advent of artificial general intelligence (AGI) might be closer than we thought. He further predicts that AI could quickly surpass human intelligence, evolving into Artificial Superintelligence, or ASI.

At the latest Beneficial AGI Summit held in Panama, renowned computer scientist Ben Goertzel hinted that the advent of artificial general intelligence (AGI) might occur earlier than previously thought.

In his final comments, Goertzel speculated that achieving AI that matches or surpasses human intelligence may not occur until 2029 or 2030. However, he did not rule out the chance that it could occur sooner, possibly by 2027.

After achieving this landmark, he suggested that AGI might quickly transform into artificial superintelligence (ASI), encompassing all the accumulated wisdom of human society.

Addressing the conference attendees, Goertzel recognized the ambiguity involved in the creation of AGI, asserting, "Human-level artificial general intelligence has not been developed by anyone yet; there is no concrete understanding of when this will be achieved."

Nonetheless, he conveyed his conviction that achieving AGI at par with human intelligence in the forthcoming three to eight years is conceivable.

Goertzel's forecast is in line with projections made by other authorities in the domain. Shane Legg, who co-founded Google DeepMind, has proposed a 50/50 likelihood of AGI being developed by 2028. Similarly, Geoffrey Hinton, often seen as a pioneer in AI, believes AGI could be realized in five to 20 years.

Goertzel, who is recognized for developing the humanoid robot Sophia, has often theorized about when the "singularity" will occur. This is the moment when AI equals and exceeds human intellect.

Progress in big language models (LLMs), like ChatGPT from OpenAI, have moved us closer to achieving Artificial General Intelligence (AGI). However, Goertzel stresses that LLMs on their own won't lead us to AGI.

He imagines that once AGI achieves the same level of intelligence as humans, it could quickly improve its own abilities, resulting in a sudden surge of intelligence.

Nevertheless, Goertzel's forecasts carry certain reservations. He admits that even an ultra-powerful AI wouldn't have a "mind" similar to humans and emphasizes the importance of thinking about the societal consequences and environmental effects of AI evolution.

Even with these factors in mind, Goertzel's hypothesis continues to be persuasive, considering the swift advancements in AI in the past few years.

Search for us on YouTube

Leading Shows

Associated Reports

Google's approach to utilizing AI in predicting floods a week before they occur

Solutions to AI hallucinations are within reach, with NVIDIA's Jensen Huang predicting artificial general intelligence in about 5 years

Apple debuts MM1, its advanced AI model for generating text and images

Microsoft recruits Mustafa Suleyman, cofounder of DeepMind, to head up their new consumer AI department

Google's technique of using AI to accurately forecast floods one week in advance

Resolving AI hallucinations is possible, with general artificial intelligence expected in roughly 5 years, according to NVIDIA's Jensen Huang

Apple introduces MM1, its innovative AI model for creating text and visuals

DeepMind's cofounder Mustafa Suleyman has been hired by Microsoft to spearhead a fresh consumer AI team

is available on YouTube.

Firstpost holds all rights and protections under copyright law as of 2024